Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.422001 0.484852 0.550627 0.624313 0.704277 0.788161 0.882537
2024-12-22 0.323322 0.408528 0.503042 0.614527 0.741326 0.880012 1.042116
2024-12-29 0.270896 0.373266 0.492815 0.640077 0.814004 1.010463 1.246718
2025-01-05 0.218600 0.329559 0.466038 0.641313 0.855669 1.104868 1.412043
2025-01-12 0.178150 0.293887 0.443604 0.643470 0.895648 1.196242 1.574604
2025-01-19 0.150769 0.270841 0.433532 0.658255 0.949442 1.303823 1.757550
2025-01-26 0.130382 0.254108 0.429139 0.678411 1.008975 1.418459 1.950263
2025-02-02 0.113268 0.239332 0.425247 0.697665 1.066598 1.530868 2.141404
2025-02-09 0.093110 0.216318 0.406849 0.694908 1.093911 1.604405 2.284479
2025-02-16 0.079773 0.202209 0.399721 0.706475 1.139476 1.701075 2.457145
2025-02-23 0.065513 0.183753 0.383793 0.703689 1.164380 1.770458 2.595313
2025-03-02 0.049671 0.158771 0.354589 0.678831 1.156771 1.795823 2.676232
2025-03-09 0.042079 0.149077 0.349911 0.690999 1.202143 1.893377 2.853728
2025-03-16 0.032326 0.132054 0.330707 0.679203 1.212334 1.943410 2.969571
2025-03-23 0.028811 0.128925 0.335770 0.705693 1.278432 2.070129 3.187867
2025-03-30 0.023000 0.118150 0.325497 0.706531 1.306368 2.144648 3.337554
2025-04-06 0.018286 0.108671 0.316476 0.708547 1.335578 2.220897 3.490032
2025-04-13 0.015422 0.103719 0.315745 0.724134 1.385257 2.326035 3.682182
2025-04-20 0.013370 0.100683 0.318494 0.745498 1.443868 2.444144 3.892711
2025-04-27 0.011517 0.097611 0.320780 0.765929 1.501223 2.560995 4.102482
2025-05-04 0.008663 0.089064 0.310218 0.762959 1.521805 2.625567 4.241321
2025-05-11 0.007027 0.084689 0.308357 0.775243 1.566273 2.724544 4.427948
2025-05-18 0.005093 0.077275 0.298513 0.772265 1.586152 2.788080 4.566089